Overrated Annuities

Newsletter

It’s time for me to pick on a couple different products that have proved to not be worth the hype.  About once a month, on average, I get an email touting the incredible opportunity of some new contract or index.  I look at all of them just to see if the claim merits me adding something else to my list of recommendations.  Most things that gain traction with other advisors don’t immediately get my attention but when I start seeing a change in sales trends, I keep track so I can compare performance.

Just like when a first-round draft pick never makes an all-star team, plenty of these past ideas have not lived up to the hype.  I have more inside knowledge than other because I service several contracts that I never sold in the first place, which suggests the agent didn’t stick around to explain the lack of performance.  That’s why I feel I’ve earned the right to label some contracts at overrated.

Two companies come to mind since both have been popping up a lot lately.  I’m going to specifically explain why I don’t like the New Heights products from Nationwide and speak more generally about why Athene seems to be pushed harder than it should.  Each of these companies has products that many agents claim to be the absolute best opportunity so I’m calling that out and will show you why.

Six or seven years ago, Nationwide got into the index annuity business with the New Heights line of products and to this day they don’t have much else.  This is a good company and the products are safe but the growth potential was tied to the JP Morgan Mosaic Index and according to sales literature the index had never returned less than 8% in a single year.  Agents clamored to sell the contract using illustrations that would turn Warren Buffet’s head and I just kind of sat there and watched it.

The problem?  I will always be hesitant to push something that does 8% every single year but whether that was true or not, the contracts required a three-year reset on all options.  That means you had to wait three years to see if you made any money.  Longer resets come with higher participation rates so the illustrations looked outstanding but the longer resets also bring about a lot of risk.  And that’s exactly what happened.  The index never did quite as good as promised and at a few key points the market cratered and several people went three years while making little or nothing.  That puts a whole lot of pressure on the next period since one could theoretically go a whole six years without earning interest.  One quarter of retirement could be gone and you only have two chances to lock in money.  I don’t recommend it.

Athene was a B rated company back in 2013 when it acquired the US operations of Aviva, a major British insurer with roots going back to the 18th century.  It’s not often that a small company buys a big one but it’s beyond my pay grade to explain that one.  Since then, Athene has been growing rapidly and at times is creating new products faster than they process applications.  To me it seems like this company has too many things going on at once.  When another agent says this is the best opportunity available, it really depends on which contract.  Athene has 21 index annuities up for grabs.

This is one that I hear about nearly as much as Allianz and that’s because of the distribution structure.  Athene is paying marketing organizations a lot of money to push the products so you have a really good chance of running into one of them when someone solicits you.  It’s hard to pick one specific product but if we’re talking growth, just about all of the 21 have the same index options so it’s easy to lump them all together.

The index options are just OK but participation rates are not very high right now so I think most of them will do well to yield 3% on average.  That wouldn’t be the worst result but it’s not that exciting and that’s not my problem with Athene.  All contracts offer a blend of one and two-year resents.  Again as above with Nationwide, longer resets come with higher participation and more risk of not making any money.

It’s fine if you want to pursue that strategy but agents are pushing it mainly for one reason.  It’s not because it’s best for you, just that it is the only way they can make an illustration look good.  My experience from the past suggests you are better off sticking with the consistency of one-year resets.  You have to think about more than the potential of an index and right now is not the time to enter a long crediting period.  The market is down from the historic top but up about 5% over the past year.

Again we have an overvalued market and an absolutely miserable economic outlook.  Going long on an extended market run right now makes no sense to me.  Go short and reevaluate next year.  If you have a Nationwide contract you may not have much choice and the agents for Athene are more interested in making a sale than giving good advice.  Maybe they should switch to or at least branch out to other companies to provide more opportunity for clients.

The best contract is partially a matter of opinion.  Certain things can be verified but in the end it comes down to what you like and who you trust.  Beyond any opinion, Nationwide and Athene do not have the best contracts.  As I was writing this I realized I should have done more detail on each individually because there’s a lot more to it so comment below or send me an email if you’d like me to work on the extended version.

Enjoy your weekend!

Bryan

7 replies
  1. Michael Balboni
    Michael Balboni says:

    re: “As I was writing this I realized I should have done more detail on each individually because there’s a lot more to it so comment below or send me an email if you’d like me to work on the extended version.”

    Hi Mr. Anderson:

    Instead of an extended version of annuities you do not prefer, I’d like an extended version of annuities you DO prefer. And include why you prefer these, what advantages they have, what disadvantages they have, what type of retirement investor these are best for, what are their inherent risks, their disclosed and hidden costs, etc. I think this extended version would help your readers much more than focusing on what you do not prefer. You’d be helping us to better understand what criteria you use, and what we need to concentrate on, when evaluating various annuities. Thank you. I greatly appreciate your insights. What I look for in an advisor is someone who explains what I should invest in and why, not so much what I shouldn’t invest in. A great advisor focuses on what works, not what doesn’t work.

    Reply
    • Bryan Anderson
      Bryan Anderson says:

      Michael – I have been consistently doing this newsletter for almost two years. The main point of doing it is to make efficient use of my time. I wrote a report about Allianz 222 after receiving hundreds of phone calls and I wrote this after receiving hundreds more on Nationwide and Athene products. Most of the time I write about ideas, strategies and case studies so there is far more of what you are requesting if you want to go look for it. But the point is to answer questions so if you have a specific question then let me know and I may make it the subject of a newsletter.

      Reply
  2. Brian Saranovitz
    Brian Saranovitz says:

    I agree with your Nationwide NH w JPM MOZAIC but do disagree with your Athene comments… My clients in Athene Ascent Accumulator 10 utilizing the BNP PARIBAS MAD 5 index have done very well… the index is risk controlled to 5% and many have a 140-185 par rate with no spread on a 2 year point to point… they have also recently renewed at very high rates … as an example; if my clients average 3% on the index, then with a 140% par rate they average 4.2% net return with no downside risk… Not bad as a BOND REPLACEMENT… please give me a better accumulation FIA idea??? I am always willing to learn…

    Thanks

    Brian Saranovitz

    Reply
    • Bryan Anderson
      Bryan Anderson says:

      Brian,

      The BNP is ok but far from the claims other agents are making. Most people come into me having been told to expect 7% per year and I just don’t see it happening. I just had one client reset the BNP who got 90% of the one year for a net of 3.7%. Had he bought it a year earlier and went with a two year reset he would have received about 5.4% but for two years because the index was flat before. It’s not a bad index but I do think it’s overrated and I do have some that have done much better. I’ve given enough away for free so you’ll have to keep reading and try to figure out what that is. By the way, nice advertisement.

      Bryan

      Reply
    • Tony Mullican
      Tony Mullican says:

      But do you pay the 1 percent fee(athene tax) win or lose? Can you run it naked without income rider which is the ONLY way to play in my opinion?

      Reply
  3. Tony Mullican
    Tony Mullican says:

    Hi Bryan…..I always enjoy reading your Saturday stuff. You are spot on about NW. i am in the 9 year new heights and it was still shy of 4 percent a year in my 3rd year when Corona hit. I would like to point out that you can lock in your rate any time in each 3 year hitch but I did not do that because I did not move on the Corona warning in early FEB. Now instead of 11 percent over 3 years I will be lucky to get 4 percent. It does have that one time, any time lock-in though each 3 year term.

    Reply
    • Tony Mullican
      Tony Mullican says:

      I would like to add the JP Morgan index is weak as water, NW will not keep the rates high. I will be playing the NYSE Zebra Edge which is the best bet indexing to equities until my contract plays out. The trick with this one is to lock in anytime your gain gets up to 10 percent in my opinion

      Reply

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